Stock Analysis

Would Nanalysis Scientific (CVE:NSCI) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

TSXV:NSCI
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Nanalysis Scientific Corp. (CVE:NSCI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Nanalysis Scientific

How Much Debt Does Nanalysis Scientific Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Nanalysis Scientific had CA$15.5m of debt, up from CA$6.25m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$4.95m, its net debt is less, at about CA$10.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:NSCI Debt to Equity History August 26th 2023

How Strong Is Nanalysis Scientific's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Nanalysis Scientific had liabilities of CA$11.4m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$17.2m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CA$4.95m in cash and CA$7.25m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$16.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Nanalysis Scientific is worth CA$45.6m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nanalysis Scientific's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Nanalysis Scientific reported revenue of CA$26m, which is a gain of 34%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Nanalysis Scientific managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$15m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$22m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Nanalysis Scientific (2 are potentially serious) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.