Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Nanalysis Scientific Corp. (CVE:NSCI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Nanalysis Scientific's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nanalysis Scientific had debt of CA$14.7m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CA$15.5m over a year. However, it does have CA$1.13m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$13.6m.
How Strong Is Nanalysis Scientific's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Nanalysis Scientific had liabilities of CA$12.5m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$14.8m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CA$1.13m in cash and CA$9.79m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$16.4m.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Nanalysis Scientific has a market capitalization of CA$43.5m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nanalysis Scientific's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Nanalysis Scientific reported revenue of CA$39m, which is a gain of 54%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate Nanalysis Scientific's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$7.5m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$3.9m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Nanalysis Scientific you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TSXV:NSCI
Nanalysis Scientific
Develops, manufactures, and sells magnetic resonance technology products in Canada, the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Moderate growth potential low.