Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Maple Leaf Foods (TSE:MFI) Paint A Concerning Picture

TSX:MFI
Source: Shutterstock

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Maple Leaf Foods (TSE:MFI) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Maple Leaf Foods is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.0094 = CA$33m ÷ (CA$4.6b - CA$1.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

Therefore, Maple Leaf Foods has an ROCE of 0.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Food industry average of 8.7%.

See our latest analysis for Maple Leaf Foods

roce
TSX:MFI Return on Capital Employed February 24th 2024

In the above chart we have measured Maple Leaf Foods' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Maple Leaf Foods .

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

In terms of Maple Leaf Foods' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 7.9%, but since then they've fallen to 0.9%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

Our Take On Maple Leaf Foods' ROCE

To conclude, we've found that Maple Leaf Foods is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Additionally, the stock's total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat, which isn't too surprising. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

One more thing to note, we've identified 3 warning signs with Maple Leaf Foods and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

While Maple Leaf Foods isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Maple Leaf Foods is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.