Stock Analysis

ShaMaran Petroleum Corp.'s (CVE:SNM) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

Published
TSXV:SNM

There wouldn't be many who think ShaMaran Petroleum Corp.'s (CVE:SNM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Oil and Gas industry in Canada is similar at about 1.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for ShaMaran Petroleum

TSXV:SNM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 31st 2024

How ShaMaran Petroleum Has Been Performing

ShaMaran Petroleum could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think ShaMaran Petroleum's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like ShaMaran Petroleum's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 45%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 123% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 1.6%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that ShaMaran Petroleum's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Looking at ShaMaran Petroleum's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for ShaMaran Petroleum with six simple checks.

If you're unsure about the strength of ShaMaran Petroleum's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.