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SouthGobi Resources Ltd. (CVE:SGQ) Surges 26% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement
Despite an already strong run, SouthGobi Resources Ltd. (CVE:SGQ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 8.9% isn't as impressive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may still consider SouthGobi Resources as a highly attractive investment with its 3.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
For example, consider that SouthGobi Resources' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for SouthGobi Resources
How Is SouthGobi Resources' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like SouthGobi Resources' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 48% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why SouthGobi Resources is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From SouthGobi Resources' P/E?
Even after such a strong price move, SouthGobi Resources' P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of SouthGobi Resources revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for SouthGobi Resources (3 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:SGQ
SouthGobi Resources
Operates as an integrated coal mining, development, and exploration company in Mongolia and China.
Slight risk and slightly overvalued.
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