David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Yangarra Resources Ltd. (TSE:YGR) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Yangarra Resources
What Is Yangarra Resources's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Yangarra Resources had CA$191.0m of debt in March 2022, down from CA$202.4m, one year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
How Healthy Is Yangarra Resources' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Yangarra Resources had liabilities of CA$28.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$283.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$191.0k in cash and CA$32.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$279.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CA$299.7m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.6, Yangarra Resources uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 8.0 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Better yet, Yangarra Resources grew its EBIT by 252% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yangarra Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Yangarra Resources basically broke even on a free cash flow basis. Some might say that's a concern, when it comes considering how easily it would be for it to down debt.
Our View
Neither Yangarra Resources's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Yangarra Resources is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Yangarra Resources has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:YGR
Yangarra Resources
A junior oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Western Canada.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.