Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Suncor Energy (TSE:SU) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

TSX:SU
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Suncor Energy Inc. (TSE:SU) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Suncor Energy

What Is Suncor Energy's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Suncor Energy had CA$13.6b of debt in March 2023, down from CA$15.2b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CA$1.13b in cash leading to net debt of about CA$12.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:SU Debt to Equity History June 16th 2023

How Healthy Is Suncor Energy's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Suncor Energy had liabilities of CA$12.5b due within a year, and liabilities of CA$32.3b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$1.13b as well as receivables valued at CA$6.64b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$37.0b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of CA$52.0b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Suncor Energy's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Suncor Energy's net debt is only 0.52 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 21.0 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Suncor Energy grew its EBIT by 77% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Suncor Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent two years, Suncor Energy recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, Suncor Energy's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Suncor Energy is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Suncor Energy is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.