Secure Energy Services Inc.

TSX:SES Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$3.9b

Secure Energy Services Valuation

Is SES undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SES when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SES (CA$16.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$26.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SES is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SES?

Key metric: As SES is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SES. This is calculated by dividing SES's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SES's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.5x
EarningsCA$607.00m
Market CapCA$3.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SES's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SES vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.1x
PKI Parkland
24.7x33.4%CA$5.9b
GEI Gibson Energy
17.8x9.9%CA$3.7b
TPZ Topaz Energy
70.8x4.2%CA$4.3b
TVE Tamarack Valley Energy
11.1x-14.0%CA$2.4b
SES Secure Energy Services
6.5x-34.6%CA$3.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SES is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the peer average (31.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SES's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAM Highwood Asset Management
1.2x-43.9%US$62.92m
ALPS.U Alpine Summit Energy Partners
1xn/aUS$24.02m
KUB.H Carcetti Capital
0.7xn/aUS$5.82m
GCOM Green Shift Commodities
1.6xn/aUS$4.89m
SES 6.5xIndustry Avg. 10.8xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SES is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (10.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SES's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SES PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.5x
Fair PE Ratio6.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SES is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SES forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$16.69
CA$17.68
+5.9%
11.2%CA$22.00CA$15.00n/a10
Nov ’25CA$15.90
CA$17.68
+11.2%
11.2%CA$22.00CA$15.00n/a10
Oct ’25CA$12.09
CA$14.47
+19.7%
5.8%CA$16.00CA$13.00n/a8
Sep ’25CA$12.41
CA$14.47
+16.6%
5.8%CA$16.00CA$13.00n/a8
Aug ’25CA$12.16
CA$14.47
+19.0%
5.8%CA$16.00CA$13.00n/a8
Jul ’25CA$12.11
CA$13.63
+12.5%
5.4%CA$14.50CA$12.00n/a8
Jun ’25CA$11.30
CA$13.72
+21.4%
6.0%CA$15.00CA$12.00n/a9
May ’25CA$11.51
CA$13.61
+18.3%
6.2%CA$15.00CA$12.00n/a9
Apr ’25CA$11.42
CA$12.53
+9.7%
7.4%CA$14.00CA$11.00n/a9
Mar ’25CA$11.33
CA$12.53
+10.6%
7.4%CA$14.00CA$11.00n/a9
Feb ’25CA$10.39
CA$11.69
+12.6%
7.4%CA$13.00CA$10.50n/a9
Jan ’25CA$9.43
CA$10.88
+15.3%
8.8%CA$12.50CA$9.50n/a8
Dec ’24CA$8.29
CA$9.38
+13.1%
7.4%CA$10.50CA$8.50n/a8
Nov ’24CA$7.91
CA$9.25
+16.9%
8.5%CA$10.50CA$8.00CA$15.908
Oct ’24CA$7.46
CA$9.06
+21.5%
10.8%CA$10.50CA$7.50CA$12.098
Sep ’24CA$7.73
CA$8.81
+14.0%
11.0%CA$10.50CA$7.50CA$12.418
Aug ’24CA$7.00
CA$8.83
+26.1%
10.0%CA$10.50CA$7.50CA$12.1610
Jul ’24CA$6.34
CA$8.61
+35.9%
11.4%CA$10.50CA$7.00CA$12.1111
Jun ’24CA$6.00
CA$8.70
+45.1%
12.2%CA$10.50CA$7.00CA$11.3011
May ’24CA$6.08
CA$8.70
+43.2%
12.2%CA$10.50CA$7.00CA$11.5111
Apr ’24CA$6.31
CA$8.91
+41.2%
14.9%CA$11.50CA$7.00CA$11.4211
Mar ’24CA$8.61
CA$10.48
+21.7%
8.3%CA$12.00CA$8.50CA$11.3311
Feb ’24CA$8.04
CA$10.48
+30.3%
8.3%CA$12.00CA$8.50CA$10.3911
Jan ’24CA$7.03
CA$10.32
+46.8%
9.5%CA$12.00CA$8.50CA$9.4311
Dec ’23CA$7.38
CA$10.32
+39.8%
9.5%CA$12.00CA$8.50CA$8.2911
Nov ’23CA$7.29
CA$9.39
+28.8%
8.6%CA$11.00CA$8.50CA$7.9111

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

CES Energy Solutions

CA$2.0b

Engages in design, implement, and manufacture of advanced consumable fluids and specialty chemicals in the United States and Canada.

CEU

CA$8.96

7D

-2.5%

1Y

146.2%

Precision Drilling

CA$1.2b

A drilling company, provides onshore drilling, completion, and production services to exploration and production companies in the oil and natural gas and geothermal industries in North America and the Middle East.

PD

CA$87.78

7D

-1.6%

1Y

8.9%

Alvopetro Energy

CA$175.4m

Operates as an independent upstream and midstream operator.

ALV

CA$4.80

7D

-2.6%

1Y

-37.3%