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The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Parex Resources Inc.'s (TSE:PXT) Earnings Yet
Parex Resources Inc.'s (TSE:PXT) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 13x and even P/E's above 28x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Parex Resources certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Parex Resources
Keen to find out how analysts think Parex Resources' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
Parex Resources' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 36% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 498% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 13% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 14%, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Parex Resources is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Parex Resources' P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Parex Resources maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Parex Resources is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is significant.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:PXT
Parex Resources
Engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas in Colombia.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.