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Revenues Working Against Prairie Provident Resources Inc.'s (TSE:PPR) Share Price Following 44% Dive
The Prairie Provident Resources Inc. (TSE:PPR) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 44%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 71% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Prairie Provident Resources' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Oil and Gas industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.9x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Prairie Provident Resources
How Prairie Provident Resources Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Prairie Provident Resources' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Prairie Provident Resources will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Prairie Provident Resources will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Prairie Provident Resources?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Prairie Provident Resources would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 36% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 0.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Prairie Provident Resources' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What We Can Learn From Prairie Provident Resources' P/S?
Prairie Provident Resources' recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Oil and Gas companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It's no surprise that Prairie Provident Resources maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Prairie Provident Resources (3 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:PPR
Prairie Provident Resources
Engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Alberta.
Slight and slightly overvalued.