Stock Analysis

Pinning Down Pembina Pipeline Corporation's (TSE:PPL) P/E Is Difficult Right Now

TSX:PPL
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When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Pembina Pipeline Corporation (TSE:PPL) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 18.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Pembina Pipeline's earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Pembina Pipeline

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:PPL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 19th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Pembina Pipeline's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Pembina Pipeline's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Pembina Pipeline's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 48% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.6% per year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's alarming that Pembina Pipeline's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Pembina Pipeline's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Pembina Pipeline currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Pembina Pipeline, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Pembina Pipeline, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.