Precision Drilling Corporation

TSX:PD Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$1.3b

Precision Drilling Valuation

Is PD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PD (CA$92.83) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$198.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.8x
PEG Ratio-0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.3x
ESI Ensign Energy Services
10.4x32.9%CA$429.8m
PHX PHX Energy Services
4.2x-4.8%CA$418.8m
AKT.A AKITA Drilling
3.1xn/aCA$58.4m
CET Cathedral Energy Services
19.4x66.1%CA$206.2m
PD Precision Drilling
4.6x-10.8%CA$1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (9.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Energy Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the North American Energy Services industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.6x
Fair PE Ratio7.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$92.83
CA$123.64
+33.2%
6.2%CA$135.00CA$110.00n/a11
Apr ’25CA$92.05
CA$123.45
+34.1%
7.3%CA$139.00CA$110.00n/a11
Mar ’25CA$83.77
CA$123.45
+47.4%
7.3%CA$139.00CA$110.00n/a11
Feb ’25CA$81.20
CA$124.73
+53.6%
8.7%CA$142.00CA$100.00n/a11
Jan ’25CA$71.96
CA$128.20
+78.2%
6.8%CA$142.00CA$115.00n/a10
Dec ’24CA$78.10
CA$131.20
+68.0%
7.1%CA$145.00CA$115.00n/a10
Nov ’24CA$79.96
CA$131.25
+64.1%
6.8%CA$145.00CA$115.00n/a8
Oct ’24CA$91.01
CA$133.13
+46.3%
6.8%CA$145.00CA$115.00n/a8
Sep ’24CA$92.58
CA$125.00
+35.0%
8.4%CA$140.00CA$110.00n/a10
Aug ’24CA$85.46
CA$121.25
+41.9%
10.8%CA$140.00CA$95.00n/a12
Jul ’24CA$64.67
CA$123.00
+90.2%
12.2%CA$143.00CA$85.00n/a11
Jun ’24CA$58.78
CA$127.73
+117.3%
11.5%CA$143.00CA$85.00n/a11
May ’24CA$65.68
CA$128.36
+95.4%
10.6%CA$145.00CA$90.00n/a11
Apr ’24CA$69.45
CA$141.73
+104.1%
17.1%CA$185.00CA$90.00CA$92.0511
Mar ’24CA$79.27
CA$144.91
+82.8%
14.3%CA$185.00CA$100.00CA$83.7711
Feb ’24CA$103.87
CA$152.18
+46.5%
11.3%CA$185.00CA$130.00CA$81.2011
Jan ’24CA$103.71
CA$143.64
+38.5%
8.1%CA$165.00CA$125.00CA$71.9611
Dec ’23CA$106.02
CA$143.64
+35.5%
8.1%CA$165.00CA$125.00CA$78.1011
Nov ’23CA$106.56
CA$141.82
+33.1%
10.4%CA$165.00CA$110.00CA$79.9611
Oct ’23CA$69.93
CA$132.55
+89.5%
12.1%CA$156.00CA$100.00CA$91.0111
Sep ’23CA$79.82
CA$131.36
+64.6%
12.3%CA$156.00CA$100.00CA$92.5811
Aug ’23CA$87.28
CA$132.73
+52.1%
10.5%CA$156.00CA$112.00CA$85.4611
Jul ’23CA$82.71
CA$126.00
+52.3%
11.7%CA$147.00CA$92.00CA$64.6711
Jun ’23CA$105.47
CA$123.45
+17.1%
13.5%CA$147.00CA$87.00CA$58.7811
May ’23CA$92.52
CA$120.82
+30.6%
14.0%CA$147.00CA$87.00CA$65.6811
Apr ’23CA$94.66
CA$97.95
+3.5%
16.2%CA$125.00CA$80.00CA$69.4511

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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