Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On McCoy Global Inc. (TSE:MCB)

TSX:MCB
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McCoy Global Inc.'s (TSE:MCB) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 11x and even P/E's above 25x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, McCoy Global has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for McCoy Global

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TSX:MCB Price Based on Past Earnings March 11th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on McCoy Global's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For McCoy Global?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like McCoy Global's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 113% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 3,542% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 5.9% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that McCoy Global is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From McCoy Global's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of McCoy Global revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for McCoy Global (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.