If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Kolibri Global Energy (TSE:KEI) so let's look a bit deeper.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Kolibri Global Energy:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.16 = US$28m ÷ (US$188m - US$10.0m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Thus, Kolibri Global Energy has an ROCE of 16%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 19% generated by the Oil and Gas industry.
View our latest analysis for Kolibri Global Energy
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Kolibri Global Energy compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for Kolibri Global Energy
- Debt is not viewed as a risk.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- No apparent threats visible for KEI.
The Trend Of ROCE
We're delighted to see that Kolibri Global Energy is reaping rewards from its investments and has now broken into profitability. While the business was unprofitable in the past, it's now turned things around and is earning 16% on its capital. Interestingly, the capital employed by the business has remained relatively flat, so these higher returns are either from prior investments paying off or increased efficiencies. With no noticeable increase in capital employed, it's worth knowing what the company plans on doing going forward in regards to reinvesting and growing the business. After all, a company can only become a long term multi-bagger if it continually reinvests in itself at high rates of return.
The Bottom Line
To sum it up, Kolibri Global Energy is collecting higher returns from the same amount of capital, and that's impressive. Investors may not be impressed by the favorable underlying trends yet because over the last five years the stock has only returned 28% to shareholders. So with that in mind, we think the stock deserves further research.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Kolibri Global Energy, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Kolibri Global Energy isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kolibri Global Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:KEI
Kolibri Global Energy
Engages in the finding and exploiting oil, gas, and clean and sustainable energy in the United States.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.