Kiwetinohk Energy Valuation

Is KEC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KEC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate KEC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate KEC's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KEC?

Key metric: As KEC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KEC. This is calculated by dividing KEC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KEC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.1x
EarningsCA$65.39m
Market CapCA$660.76m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KEC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KEC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.8x
FEC Frontera Energy
4.6xn/aCA$627.8m
OBE Obsidian Energy
4.9x15.4%CA$576.6m
CJ Cardinal Energy
9.9x6.3%CA$1.0b
TAL PetroTal
3.8x-4.6%CA$593.2m
KEC Kiwetinohk Energy
10.1x93.6%CA$660.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KEC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the peer average (5.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KEC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAM Highwood Asset Management
1.2x-43.9%US$62.92m
ALPS.U Alpine Summit Energy Partners
1xn/aUS$24.02m
KUB.H Carcetti Capital
0.7xn/aUS$5.82m
GCOM Green Shift Commodities
1.6xn/aUS$4.89m
KEC 10.1xIndustry Avg. 10.8xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KEC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KEC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KEC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.1x
Fair PE Ratio40.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KEC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KEC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$15.10
CA$19.33
+28.0%
12.1%CA$22.50CA$16.50n/a6
Nov ’25CA$15.05
CA$18.50
+22.9%
16.1%CA$22.50CA$14.00n/a6
Oct ’25CA$14.10
CA$19.00
+34.8%
15.9%CA$22.50CA$14.00n/a7
Sep ’25CA$14.60
CA$19.00
+30.1%
15.9%CA$22.50CA$14.00n/a7
Aug ’25CA$13.60
CA$19.00
+39.7%
15.9%CA$22.50CA$14.00n/a7
Jul ’25CA$13.19
CA$18.93
+43.5%
16.0%CA$22.50CA$14.00n/a7
Jun ’25CA$13.17
CA$19.06
+44.7%
15.9%CA$22.50CA$14.00n/a8
May ’25CA$12.30
CA$18.94
+54.0%
16.7%CA$22.50CA$14.00n/a8
Apr ’25CA$12.24
CA$18.43
+50.6%
15.8%CA$22.00CA$14.00n/a7
Mar ’25CA$10.95
CA$18.86
+72.2%
16.1%CA$22.00CA$14.00n/a7
Feb ’25CA$11.15
CA$18.86
+69.1%
16.1%CA$22.00CA$14.00n/a7
Jan ’25CA$11.35
CA$19.50
+71.8%
18.4%CA$24.00CA$14.00n/a7
Dec ’24CA$12.69
CA$19.56
+54.2%
15.2%CA$24.00CA$16.00n/a8
Nov ’24CA$13.20
CA$19.92
+50.9%
18.2%CA$24.00CA$16.00CA$15.056
Oct ’24CA$13.01
CA$20.83
+60.1%
21.0%CA$26.50CA$16.00CA$14.106
Sep ’24CA$12.99
CA$21.00
+61.7%
20.2%CA$26.50CA$16.00CA$14.606
Aug ’24CA$14.05
CA$21.00
+49.5%
20.2%CA$26.50CA$16.00CA$13.606
Jul ’24CA$12.01
CA$20.67
+72.1%
21.9%CA$26.50CA$16.00CA$13.196
Jun ’24CA$12.68
CA$21.00
+65.6%
20.2%CA$26.50CA$16.00CA$13.176
May ’24CA$12.66
CA$21.92
+73.1%
18.7%CA$26.50CA$16.00CA$12.306
Apr ’24CA$11.87
CA$22.58
+90.3%
14.8%CA$26.50CA$18.00CA$12.246
Mar ’24CA$12.73
CA$23.25
+82.6%
11.4%CA$26.50CA$20.00CA$10.956
Feb ’24CA$14.14
CA$23.42
+65.6%
10.8%CA$26.50CA$20.00CA$11.156
Jan ’24CA$14.57
CA$23.58
+61.9%
10.1%CA$26.50CA$20.00CA$11.356
Dec ’23CA$14.50
CA$23.58
+62.6%
10.1%CA$26.50CA$20.00CA$12.696
Nov ’23CA$17.30
CA$24.00
+38.7%
11.6%CA$27.50CA$20.00CA$13.206

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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