Stock Analysis

International Petroleum Corporation's (TSE:IPCO) large institutional owners must be happy as stock continues to impress, up 6.3% over the past week

Published
TSX:IPCO

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, International Petroleum's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • A total of 2 investors have a majority stake in the company with 58% ownership
  • Insiders have been buying lately

Every investor in International Petroleum Corporation (TSE:IPCO) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 36% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And as as result, institutional investors reaped the most rewards after the company's stock price gained 6.3% last week. One-year return to shareholders is currently 22% and last week’s gain was the icing on the cake.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of International Petroleum.

See our latest analysis for International Petroleum

TSX:IPCO Ownership Breakdown January 12th 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About International Petroleum?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

International Petroleum already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see International Petroleum's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

TSX:IPCO Earnings and Revenue Growth January 12th 2025

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in International Petroleum. Our data shows that Nemesia S.À R.L. is the largest shareholder with 34% of shares outstanding. Janus Henderson Group plc is the second largest shareholder owning 24% of common stock, and Dimensional Fund Advisors LP holds about 3.1% of the company stock. Additionally, the company's CEO William A. Lundin directly holds 0.6% of the total shares outstanding.

A more detailed study of the shareholder registry showed us that 2 of the top shareholders have a considerable amount of ownership in the company, via their 58% stake.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of International Petroleum

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

We can see that insiders own shares in International Petroleum Corporation. The insiders have a meaningful stake worth CA$82m. Most would see this as a real positive. Most would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. Still, it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 26% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Private Company Ownership

Our data indicates that Private Companies hold 34%, of the company's shares. It's hard to draw any conclusions from this fact alone, so its worth looking into who owns those private companies. Sometimes insiders or other related parties have an interest in shares in a public company through a separate private company.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for International Petroleum that you should be aware of.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.