Stock Analysis
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- TSX:IPCO
International Petroleum Corporation (TSE:IPCO) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares
International Petroleum Corporation's (TSE:IPCO) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 32x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
International Petroleum has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for International Petroleum
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on International Petroleum will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is International Petroleum's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as International Petroleum's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 32%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 402% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 20% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 9.0% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that International Petroleum is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of International Petroleum's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for International Petroleum you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:IPCO
International Petroleum
Explores for, develops, and produces oil and gas.