Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Gibson Energy (TSE:GEI)

TSX:GEI
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. So when we looked at Gibson Energy (TSE:GEI) and its trend of ROCE, we really liked what we saw.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Gibson Energy:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.16 = CA$383m ÷ (CA$3.3b - CA$809m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Thus, Gibson Energy has an ROCE of 16%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 19% generated by the Oil and Gas industry.

See our latest analysis for Gibson Energy

roce
TSX:GEI Return on Capital Employed June 1st 2023

In the above chart we have measured Gibson Energy's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Gibson Energy here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Gibson Energy

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
  • Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
Weakness
  • No major weaknesses identified for GEI.
Opportunity
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
Threat
  • Annual earnings are forecast to decline for the next 3 years.

What Can We Tell From Gibson Energy's ROCE Trend?

Gibson Energy is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. The figures show that over the last five years, ROCE has grown 348% whilst employing roughly the same amount of capital. Basically the business is generating higher returns from the same amount of capital and that is proof that there are improvements in the company's efficiencies. It's worth looking deeper into this though because while it's great that the business is more efficient, it might also mean that going forward the areas to invest internally for the organic growth are lacking.

The Bottom Line On Gibson Energy's ROCE

As discussed above, Gibson Energy appears to be getting more proficient at generating returns since capital employed has remained flat but earnings (before interest and tax) are up. And with a respectable 73% awarded to those who held the stock over the last five years, you could argue that these developments are starting to get the attention they deserve. So given the stock has proven it has promising trends, it's worth researching the company further to see if these trends are likely to persist.

One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Gibson Energy (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

While Gibson Energy isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Gibson Energy is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.