CES Energy Solutions Corp.

TSX:CEU Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$2.2b

CES Energy Solutions Valuation

Is CEU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CEU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CEU (CA$9.73) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$19.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CEU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CEU?

Key metric: As CEU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CEU. This is calculated by dividing CEU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CEU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.1x
EarningsCA$198.44m
Market CapCA$2.16b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CEU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CEU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
TVK TerraVest Industries
36.5x21.1%CA$2.4b
PSI Pason Systems
10.3x-6.1%CA$1.2b
TCW Trican Well Service
8.3x-1.9%CA$915.2m
NOA North American Construction Group
12.9x36.4%CA$736.9m
CEU CES Energy Solutions
10.9x5.6%CA$2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CEU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CEU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Energy Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SHLE Source Energy Services
1.4x-33.7%US$158.89m
No more companies available in this PE range
CEU 11.1xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CEU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the North American Energy Services industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CEU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CEU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.1x
Fair PE Ratio11.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CEU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CEU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$9.73
CA$10.88
+11.8%
6.3%CA$12.00CA$10.00n/a8
Nov ’25CA$8.05
CA$10.41
+29.3%
8.2%CA$12.00CA$9.00n/a8
Oct ’25CA$7.52
CA$10.19
+35.5%
8.4%CA$12.00CA$9.00n/a8
Sep ’25CA$8.00
CA$10.22
+27.7%
8.6%CA$12.00CA$9.00n/a8
Aug ’25CA$8.20
CA$9.22
+12.4%
7.6%CA$10.50CA$8.50n/a8
Jul ’25CA$7.70
CA$8.75
+13.6%
10.3%CA$10.50CA$7.00n/a8
Jun ’25CA$7.22
CA$8.47
+17.3%
6.9%CA$9.00CA$7.00n/a9
May ’25CA$5.67
CA$6.73
+18.8%
9.6%CA$8.00CA$5.85n/a9
Apr ’25CA$4.82
CA$5.71
+18.4%
9.2%CA$6.75CA$4.75n/a9
Mar ’25CA$4.77
CA$5.59
+17.2%
9.4%CA$6.75CA$4.75n/a9
Feb ’25CA$4.01
CA$4.98
+24.1%
3.3%CA$5.30CA$4.75n/a8
Jan ’25CA$3.45
CA$4.98
+44.2%
4.1%CA$5.30CA$4.75n/a8
Dec ’24CA$3.47
CA$5.04
+45.2%
5.3%CA$5.50CA$4.75n/a8
Nov ’24CA$3.71
CA$4.78
+28.9%
6.1%CA$5.25CA$4.25CA$8.058
Oct ’24CA$3.85
CA$4.69
+21.8%
7.4%CA$5.00CA$4.00CA$7.528
Sep ’24CA$3.70
CA$4.44
+19.9%
7.8%CA$5.00CA$4.00CA$8.008
Aug ’24CA$2.84
CA$4.08
+43.5%
10.7%CA$4.75CA$3.50CA$8.2010
Jul ’24CA$2.62
CA$4.08
+55.5%
12.3%CA$5.00CA$3.50CA$7.7010
Jun ’24CA$2.42
CA$4.10
+69.4%
11.7%CA$5.00CA$3.50CA$7.2210
May ’24CA$2.58
CA$4.34
+68.0%
10.8%CA$5.00CA$3.75CA$5.6710
Apr ’24CA$2.68
CA$4.51
+68.3%
12.9%CA$5.50CA$3.75CA$4.8210
Mar ’24CA$3.01
CA$4.46
+48.0%
13.4%CA$5.50CA$3.50CA$4.779
Feb ’24CA$2.87
CA$4.41
+53.7%
13.2%CA$5.50CA$3.50CA$4.0110
Jan ’24CA$2.76
CA$4.49
+62.5%
12.5%CA$5.50CA$3.50CA$3.4510
Dec ’23CA$2.88
CA$4.49
+55.7%
12.5%CA$5.50CA$3.50CA$3.4710
Nov ’23CA$2.90
CA$4.23
+45.7%
16.6%CA$5.50CA$3.50CA$3.7110

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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