Stock Analysis
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Condor Energies Inc. (TSE:CDR) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Condor Energies
How Much Debt Does Condor Energies Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Condor Energies had CA$14.1m of debt, an increase on CA$6.01m, over one year. However, it does have CA$12.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$1.57m.
How Healthy Is Condor Energies' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Condor Energies had liabilities of CA$29.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$21.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$12.5m as well as receivables valued at CA$22.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$15.5m.
Of course, Condor Energies has a market capitalization of CA$136.0m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. But either way, Condor Energies has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Given net debt is only 0.16 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Condor Energies's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.4 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Notably, Condor Energies made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of CA$3.0m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Condor Energies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Condor Energies burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Both Condor Energies's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its interest cover were discouraging. But on the brighter side of life, its net debt to EBITDA leaves us feeling more frolicsome. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Condor Energies is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Condor Energies has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CDR
Condor Energies
An oil and gas company, engages in the production of natural gas in Uzbekistan, Turkey, and Kazakhstan.