Stock Analysis

Potential Upside For Western Pacific Trust Company (CVE:WP) Not Without Risk

TSXV:WP
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There wouldn't be many who think Western Pacific Trust Company's (CVE:WP) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Canada is similar at about 15x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Western Pacific Trust over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Western Pacific Trust

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:WP Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 20th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Western Pacific Trust's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Western Pacific Trust's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 43%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 2,916% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 29% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Western Pacific Trust's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Western Pacific Trust's P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Western Pacific Trust revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Western Pacific Trust (2 are potentially serious) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Western Pacific Trust's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Western Pacific Trust might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.