Guardian Capital Group Limited

TSX:GCG.A Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$961.1m

Guardian Capital Group Valuation

Is GCG.A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GCG.A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GCG.A (CA$41.33) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$34.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GCG.A is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GCG.A?

Key metric: As GCG.A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GCG.A. This is calculated by dividing GCG.A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GCG.A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.2x
EarningsCA$103.35m
Market CapCA$961.10m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GCG.A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GCG.A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.5x
AD.UN Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust
4.3x-37.1%CA$850.8m
FSZ Fiera Capital
14.8x-9.7%CA$953.3m
AGF.B AGF Management
8.1x-5.7%CA$694.5m
SII Sprott
22.8xn/aCA$1.6b
GCG.A Guardian Capital Group
9.2xn/aCA$961.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GCG.A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (12.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GCG.A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Capital Markets Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INXD INX Digital Company
0.3xn/aUS$13.17m
MAR.UN Marwest Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
0.8xn/aUS$10.31m
CSOC.A Canso Select Opportunities
1.7xn/aUS$8.87m
PXI Planet Ventures
1.7xn/aUS$4.30m
GCG.A 9.2xIndustry Avg. 12.0xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GCG.A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the Canadian Capital Markets industry average (12x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GCG.A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GCG.A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GCG.A's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GCG.A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$41.33
CA$50.00
+21.0%
9.1%CA$55.00CA$44.00n/a3
Dec ’25CA$41.83
CA$49.67
+18.7%
9.1%CA$55.00CA$44.00n/a3
Nov ’25CA$39.95
CA$49.67
+24.3%
9.1%CA$55.00CA$44.00n/a3
Oct ’25CA$40.71
CA$50.67
+24.5%
6.5%CA$55.00CA$47.00n/a3
Sep ’25CA$41.39
CA$50.67
+22.4%
6.5%CA$55.00CA$47.00n/a3
Aug ’25CA$43.88
CA$53.00
+20.8%
8.0%CA$56.00CA$47.00n/a3
Jul ’25CA$43.02
CA$55.00
+27.8%
1.5%CA$56.00CA$54.00n/a3
Jun ’25CA$44.65
CA$55.00
+23.2%
1.5%CA$56.00CA$54.00n/a3
May ’25CA$45.69
CA$56.00
+22.6%
2.9%CA$58.00CA$54.00n/a3
Apr ’25CA$48.55
CA$56.00
+15.3%
2.9%CA$58.00CA$54.00n/a3
Mar ’25CA$51.00
CA$56.00
+9.8%
2.9%CA$58.00CA$54.00n/a3
Feb ’25CA$43.50
CA$56.67
+30.3%
4.4%CA$60.00CA$54.00n/a3
Jan ’25CA$44.26
CA$56.00
+26.5%
2.9%CA$58.00CA$54.00n/a3
Dec ’24CA$43.62
CA$54.33
+24.6%
5.3%CA$58.00CA$51.00CA$41.833
Nov ’24CA$40.42
CA$52.67
+30.3%
3.2%CA$55.00CA$51.00CA$39.953
Oct ’24CA$43.00
CA$54.00
+25.6%
4.0%CA$56.00CA$51.00CA$40.713
Sep ’24CA$40.50
CA$54.00
+33.3%
4.0%CA$56.00CA$51.00CA$41.393
Aug ’24CA$40.05
CA$53.67
+34.0%
6.9%CA$58.00CA$49.00CA$43.883
Jul ’24CA$42.00
CA$53.33
+27.0%
6.2%CA$57.00CA$49.00CA$43.023
Jun ’24CA$44.99
CA$53.33
+18.5%
6.2%CA$57.00CA$49.00CA$44.653
May ’24CA$43.00
CA$53.00
+23.3%
5.6%CA$56.00CA$49.00CA$45.693
Apr ’24CA$43.58
CA$53.00
+21.6%
5.6%CA$56.00CA$49.00CA$48.553
Mar ’24CA$38.72
CA$52.00
+34.3%
5.8%CA$55.00CA$49.00CA$51.002
Feb ’24CA$40.94
CA$52.00
+27.0%
5.8%CA$55.00CA$49.00CA$43.502
Jan ’24CA$38.83
CA$52.00
+33.9%
5.8%CA$55.00CA$49.00CA$44.262
Dec ’23CA$37.70
CA$52.00
+37.9%
5.8%CA$55.00CA$49.00CA$43.622

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:53
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Guardian Capital Group Limited is covered by 5 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Etienne RicardBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Scott ChanCanaccord Genuity
Nikolaus PriebeCIBC Capital Markets