Stock Analysis
The board of Canlan Ice Sports Corp. (TSE:ICE) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of January, with investors receiving CA$0.03 per share. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 2.9%.
View our latest analysis for Canlan Ice Sports
Estimates Indicate Canlan Ice Sports' Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Before this announcement, Canlan Ice Sports was paying out 83% of earnings, but a comparatively small 22% of free cash flows. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.
EPS is set to fall by 34.3% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 511%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was CA$0.08, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$0.12. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.1% a year over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Canlan Ice Sports' earnings per share has shrunk at 34% a year over the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.
Our Thoughts On Canlan Ice Sports' Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Canlan Ice Sports' payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We don't think Canlan Ice Sports is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Canlan Ice Sports (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:ICE
Canlan Ice Sports
Engages in the acquisition, development, lease, and operation of recreation facilities in North America.