Stock Analysis

Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund's (TSE:BPF.UN) Dividend Will Be CA$0.107

TSX:BPF.UN
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Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund's (TSE:BPF.UN) investors are due to receive a payment of CA$0.107 per share on 31st of August. This makes the dividend yield 7.8%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

View our latest analysis for Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund

Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund was paying out 72% of earnings and more than 75% of free cash flows. This indicates that the company is more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business, but we don't think that there are necessarily signs that the dividend might be unsustainable.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 0.5%. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 77%, meaning that most of the company's earnings are being paid out to shareholders.

historic-dividend
TSX:BPF.UN Historic Dividend August 11th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was CA$1.18 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CA$1.28. Dividend payments have been growing, but very slowly over the period. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund has impressed us by growing EPS at 11% per year over the past five years. Past earnings growth has been decent, but unless this is one of those rare businesses that can grow without additional capital investment or marketing spend, we'd generally expect the higher payout ratio to limit its future growth prospects.

Our Thoughts On Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund's Dividend

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund has been making. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.