Stock Analysis

The Returns At Empire (TSE:EMP.A) Aren't Growing

TSX:EMP.A
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Empire (TSE:EMP.A) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Empire is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.099 = CA$1.2b ÷ (CA$16b - CA$3.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to February 2023).

Thus, Empire has an ROCE of 9.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Consumer Retailing industry average of 12%.

Check out our latest analysis for Empire

roce
TSX:EMP.A Return on Capital Employed May 5th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Empire's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Empire

Strength
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Consumer Retailing market.
  • Current share price is above our estimate of fair value.
Opportunity
  • EMP.A's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
Threat
  • Annual revenue is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Empire Tell Us?

In terms of Empire's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 9.9% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 123% in that time. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.

On a side note, Empire has done well to reduce current liabilities to 23% of total assets over the last five years. Effectively suppliers now fund less of the business, which can lower some elements of risk.

The Bottom Line

In conclusion, Empire has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 51% over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.

If you're still interested in Empire it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Empire might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.