Stock Analysis

Deveron Corp. (CVE:FARM) Stock's 29% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

TSXV:FARM
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Deveron Corp. (CVE:FARM) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 76% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Deveron may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Professional Services industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Deveron

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:FARM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 20th 2024

What Does Deveron's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Deveron's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Deveron will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Deveron's Revenue Growth Trending?

Deveron's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 11%. In spite of this, the company still managed to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it is now in decline.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 37% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 5.7%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Deveron is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Deveron's P/S?

Deveron's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Professional Services companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

To us, it seems Deveron currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Deveron (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSXV:FARM

Deveron

Provides data collection and analytics services to the agricultural industry in Canada and the United States.

Moderate and good value.

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