Stock Analysis

Investors three-year losses continue as GDI Integrated Facility Services (TSE:GDI) dips a further 8.4% this week, earnings continue to decline

Published
TSX:GDI

Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But if you try your hand at stock picking, you risk returning less than the market. We regret to report that long term GDI Integrated Facility Services Inc. (TSE:GDI) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 40% in three years, versus a market return of about 23%. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 16% in thirty days.

With the stock having lost 8.4% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

Check out our latest analysis for GDI Integrated Facility Services

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

GDI Integrated Facility Services saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 35% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 16% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines. With a P/E ratio of 52.39, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

TSX:GDI Earnings Per Share Growth February 5th 2025

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

A Different Perspective

GDI Integrated Facility Services shareholders are down 13% for the year, but the market itself is up 21%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 0.8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for GDI Integrated Facility Services you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Canadian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.