Stock Analysis

February 2025's Stocks That May Be Priced Below Estimated Value

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As global markets navigate a landscape marked by fluctuating corporate earnings, AI competition concerns, and central banks' interest rate decisions, investors are keenly observing the shifting dynamics of major indices. With the Federal Reserve holding rates steady amid solid economic activity and elevated inflation in the U.S., alongside Europe's record-high STOXX Europe 600 Index buoyed by strong earnings and ECB rate cuts, identifying stocks that may be priced below their estimated value becomes particularly relevant. In such an environment, a good stock is one that demonstrates resilience through solid fundamentals and potential for growth despite broader market volatility or sector-specific challenges.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Zhongji Innolight (SZSE:300308)CN¥98.25CN¥195.5649.8%
Reach Subsea (OB:REACH)NOK8.06NOK16.1250%
TF Bank (OM:TFBANK)SEK376.00SEK750.2849.9%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (OM:ERIC B)SEK82.94SEK165.7250%
Decisive Dividend (TSXV:DE)CA$5.97CA$11.8949.8%
Northwest Bancshares (NasdaqGS:NWBI)US$13.23US$26.3149.7%
Groupe Dynamite (TSX:GRGD)CA$16.11CA$32.0749.8%
WuXi XDC Cayman (SEHK:2268)HK$28.25HK$56.1249.7%
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile (NYSE:SQM)US$37.70US$75.2049.9%
Kyndryl Holdings (NYSE:KD)US$43.45US$86.6649.9%

Click here to see the full list of 925 stocks from our Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here we highlight a subset of our preferred stocks from the screener.

Bilia (OM:BILI A)

Overview: Bilia AB (publ) is a full-service supplier for car ownership operating in Sweden, Norway, Luxembourg, and Belgium with a market cap of SEK11.77 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include SEK964 million from Fuel, SEK7.39 billion from Car - Norway, SEK19.85 billion from Car - Sweden, SEK2.29 billion from Service - Norway, SEK6.50 billion from Service - Sweden, and SEK3.53 billion from Car - Western Europe, along with an additional contribution of SEK678 million from Service - Western Europe.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 25%

Bilia is trading at SEK 144.9, approximately 25% below its estimated fair value of SEK 193.1, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a decline in profit margins from 2.7% to 1.8%, earnings are forecast to grow at a rate of 19.5% annually, outpacing the Swedish market's average growth rate of 13.5%. However, the company's dividend yield of 4.55% is not well covered by free cash flows and it carries a high level of debt.

OM:BILI A Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025

ATS (TSX:ATS)

Overview: ATS Corporation, along with its subsidiaries, offers automation solutions globally and has a market capitalization of approximately CA$3.74 billion.

Operations: ATS Corporation's revenue is derived from providing automation solutions on a global scale.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 18%

ATS is trading at CA$41.02, below its fair value of CA$50, reflecting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a forecasted earnings growth of 37.7% annually, surpassing the Canadian market's average, profit margins have decreased from 5.9% to 3.2%. Recent financial results show a significant drop in net income and sales compared to last year, while interest payments remain inadequately covered by earnings due to high debt levels.

TSX:ATS Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025

Triple Flag Precious Metals (TSX:TFPM)

Overview: Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. is a streaming and royalty company focused on precious metals, managing interests in various countries worldwide, with a market cap of CA$4.74 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segment is derived from acquiring and managing precious metal and other high-quality streams and royalties, amounting to $246.52 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 42.9%

Triple Flag Precious Metals is trading at CA$24.09, significantly below its estimated fair value of CA$42.15, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company reported increased revenue for 2024, with US$269 million compared to US$204 million in 2023. Despite significant insider selling recently, the firm has initiated a share buyback program and is forecasted to achieve profitability within three years with earnings growth outpacing the Canadian market average.

TSX:TFPM Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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