Stock Analysis

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past ADENTRA's (TSE:ADEN) Soft Earnings

TSX:ADEN
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ADENTRA Inc.'s (TSE:ADEN) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price showed strength. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.

See our latest analysis for ADENTRA

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSX:ADEN Earnings and Revenue History March 25th 2024

A Closer Look At ADENTRA's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2023, ADENTRA had an accrual ratio of -0.19. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$226m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$36.0m. ADENTRA shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On ADENTRA's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, ADENTRA produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that ADENTRA's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 22% per year over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about ADENTRA as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for ADENTRA (1 can't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of ADENTRA's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ADENTRA is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.