Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies CPFL Energia S.A. (BVMF:CPFE3) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for CPFL Energia
What Is CPFL Energia's Net Debt?
As you can see below, CPFL Energia had R$28.3b of debt, at June 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have R$5.28b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$23.0b.
How Strong Is CPFL Energia's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CPFL Energia had liabilities of R$18.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of R$35.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$5.28b in cash and R$8.81b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$39.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of R$38.9b, we think shareholders really should watch CPFL Energia's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
CPFL Energia's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.8 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 13.6 times, makes us even more comfortable. It is well worth noting that CPFL Energia's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 31% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CPFL Energia's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, CPFL Energia recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
CPFL Energia's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. On the other hand, its level of total liabilities makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. It's also worth noting that CPFL Energia is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Considering this range of data points, we think CPFL Energia is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for CPFL Energia you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:CPFE3
CPFL Energia
Engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization of electricity to residential, industrial, and commercial customers in Brazil.
Very undervalued with adequate balance sheet.