Alupar Investimento S.A.

BOVESPA:ALUP4 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$9.1b

Alupar Investimento Valuation

Is ALUP4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALUP4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALUP4 (R$9.52) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$8.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALUP4 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALUP4?

Key metric: As ALUP4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALUP4. This is calculated by dividing ALUP4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALUP4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.2x
EarningsR$996.93m
Market CapR$9.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALUP4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALUP4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.6x
EKTR4 Elektro Redes
8.7xn/aR$8.3b
CEEB3 Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA
5.7xn/aR$9.9b
TAEE11 Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica
7.1x-9.2%R$11.8b
REDE3 Rede Energia Participações
9xn/aR$14.3b
ALUP4 Alupar Investimento
9.2x0.7%R$9.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALUP4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (7.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALUP4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the BR Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
ALUP4 9.2xIndustry Avg. 8.7xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALUP4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the BR Electric Utilities industry average (8.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALUP4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALUP4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ratio10.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALUP4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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