Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Triunfo Participações e Investimentos (BVMF:TPIS3) Is Using Debt Extensively

BOVESPA:TPIS3
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Triunfo Participações e Investimentos S.A. (BVMF:TPIS3) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Triunfo Participações e Investimentos

What Is Triunfo Participações e Investimentos's Debt?

As you can see below, Triunfo Participações e Investimentos had R$1.64b of debt, at March 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has R$44.3m in cash leading to net debt of about R$1.60b.

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BOVESPA:TPIS3 Debt to Equity History June 26th 2023

How Healthy Is Triunfo Participações e Investimentos' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Triunfo Participações e Investimentos had liabilities of R$548.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of R$1.50b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$44.3m as well as receivables valued at R$75.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$1.93b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the R$171.3m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Triunfo Participações e Investimentos would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Triunfo Participações e Investimentos's debt is 4.9 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.1 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The silver lining is that Triunfo Participações e Investimentos grew its EBIT by 274% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Triunfo Participações e Investimentos will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Triunfo Participações e Investimentos actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

While Triunfo Participações e Investimentos's level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. It's also worth noting that Triunfo Participações e Investimentos is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Triunfo Participações e Investimentos is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Triunfo Participações e Investimentos has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Triunfo Participações e Investimentos is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.