Gol Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes Valuation
Is GOLL4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of GOLL4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: GOLL4 (R$1.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$117.41)
Significantly Below Fair Value: GOLL4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOLL4?
Key metric: As GOLL4 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is GOLL4's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.03x |
| Sales | R$18.65b |
| Market Cap | R$538.13m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 9.5x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does GOLL4's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 0.3x | ||
AZUL4 Azul | 0.06x | 10.6% | R$1.2b |
MOVI3 Movida Participações | 0.1x | 13.0% | R$1.3b |
JSLG3 JSL | 0.2x | 12.1% | R$1.7b |
TGMA3 Tegma Gestão Logística | 1x | 5.2% | R$1.9b |
GOLL4 Gol Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes | 0.03x | 10.2% | R$538.1m |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GOLL4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does GOLL4's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GOLL4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (0.6x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is GOLL4's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.03x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.3x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GOLL4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | R$1.28 | R$1.15 -10.2% | 19.9% | R$1.50 | R$0.90 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’25 | R$1.34 | R$1.15 -14.2% | 19.9% | R$1.50 | R$0.90 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’25 | R$1.11 | R$1.05 -5.4% | 8.2% | R$1.20 | R$1.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’25 | R$1.05 | R$1.03 -2.4% | 4.2% | R$1.10 | R$1.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’25 | R$1.08 | R$1.03 -5.1% | 4.2% | R$1.10 | R$1.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Aug ’25 | R$1.10 | R$1.00 -9.1% | 7.1% | R$1.10 | R$0.90 | n/a | 4 |
| Jul ’25 | R$0.99 | R$1.00 +1.0% | 7.1% | R$1.10 | R$0.90 | n/a | 4 |
| Jun ’25 | R$1.11 | R$1.03 -7.7% | 4.2% | R$1.10 | R$1.00 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’25 | R$1.32 | R$1.03 -22.3% | 4.2% | R$1.10 | R$1.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Apr ’25 | R$1.56 | R$1.35 -13.5% | 44.9% | R$2.40 | R$1.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Mar ’25 | R$2.55 | R$2.58 +1.2% | 97.6% | R$7.50 | R$1.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Feb ’25 | R$2.68 | R$2.58 -3.7% | 97.6% | R$7.50 | R$1.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | R$8.97 | R$8.60 -4.1% | 19.6% | R$11.10 | R$5.20 | n/a | 10 |
| Dec ’24 | R$9.14 | R$8.40 -8.1% | 20.1% | R$11.10 | R$5.20 | R$1.34 | 10 |
| Nov ’24 | R$8.70 | R$9.45 +8.6% | 39.3% | R$19.00 | R$5.20 | R$1.11 | 10 |
| Oct ’24 | R$6.61 | R$10.58 +60.1% | 39.3% | R$19.00 | R$5.20 | R$1.05 | 11 |
| Sep ’24 | R$7.24 | R$11.54 +59.4% | 29.7% | R$19.00 | R$7.30 | R$1.08 | 12 |
| Aug ’24 | R$9.55 | R$11.85 +24.1% | 28.0% | R$19.00 | R$7.90 | R$1.10 | 12 |
| Jul ’24 | R$13.17 | R$11.49 -12.7% | 29.9% | R$19.00 | R$7.00 | R$0.99 | 12 |
| Jun ’24 | R$8.80 | R$11.45 +30.1% | 30.0% | R$19.00 | R$7.00 | R$1.11 | 12 |
| May ’24 | R$6.64 | R$14.20 +113.9% | 45.0% | R$31.00 | R$7.00 | R$1.32 | 13 |
| Apr ’24 | R$6.68 | R$14.37 +115.1% | 44.4% | R$31.00 | R$7.00 | R$1.56 | 13 |
| Mar ’24 | R$5.23 | R$14.96 +186.1% | 42.0% | R$31.00 | R$8.80 | R$2.55 | 12 |
| Feb ’24 | R$7.47 | R$14.07 +88.3% | 47.1% | R$31.00 | R$5.30 | R$2.68 | 13 |
| Jan ’24 | R$7.34 | R$14.33 +95.3% | 45.6% | R$31.00 | R$5.30 | R$8.97 | 13 |
| Dec ’23 | R$7.98 | R$16.04 +101.0% | 40.8% | R$31.00 | R$5.30 | R$9.14 | 13 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/27 17:11 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/27 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Gol Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A. is covered by 26 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mel Fernandes | Banco Brascan S.A. |
| Daniel Spilberg | Barclays |
| Luan Calimerio | BB Banco de Investimento S.A. |