Stock Analysis

Pinning Down TIM S.A.'s (BVMF:TIMS3) P/E Is Difficult Right Now

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BOVESPA:TIMS3

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.1x TIM S.A. (BVMF:TIMS3) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Brazil have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, TIM has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for TIM

BOVESPA:TIMS3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 4th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think TIM's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like TIM's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 53% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 32% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 15% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 17% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that TIM is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On TIM's P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that TIM currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for TIM you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than TIM. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TIM might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.