Desktop Valuation

Is DESK3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DESK3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DESK3 (R$13.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$41.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DESK3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DESK3?

Key metric: As DESK3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DESK3. This is calculated by dividing DESK3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DESK3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.7x
EarningsR$93.41m
Market CapR$1.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DESK3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DESK3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.1x
BRIT3 Brisanet Participações
12.7x29.9%R$1.4b
FIQE3 Unifique Telecomunicações
7.9x13.5%R$1.4b
0.05x-85.9%R$114.5m
VIVT3 Telefônica Brasil
15.8x14.4%R$84.2b
DESK3 Desktop
16.7x24.7%R$1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DESK3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the peer average (9.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DESK3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Telecom Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DESK3 16.7xIndustry Avg. 15.7xNo. of Companies31PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DESK3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the Global Telecom industry average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DESK3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DESK3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.7x
Fair PE Ratio12.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DESK3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DESK3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$13.55
R$16.71
+23.4%
19.7%R$21.00R$11.00n/a7
Nov ’25R$13.00
R$17.50
+34.6%
17.6%R$21.00R$11.00n/a7
Oct ’25R$14.49
R$17.50
+20.8%
17.6%R$21.00R$11.00n/a7
Sep ’25R$15.40
R$17.39
+12.9%
17.2%R$21.00R$11.20n/a7
Aug ’25R$17.12
R$17.39
+1.6%
17.2%R$21.00R$11.20n/a7
Jul ’25R$14.50
R$17.39
+19.9%
17.2%R$21.00R$11.20n/a7
Jun ’25R$16.20
R$19.62
+21.1%
33.7%R$33.00R$11.20n/a6
May ’25R$13.00
R$19.35
+48.8%
36.0%R$33.00R$9.60n/a6
Apr ’25R$15.40
R$20.16
+30.9%
32.1%R$33.00R$9.60n/a7
Mar ’25R$14.39
R$18.02
+25.2%
22.8%R$22.00R$9.60n/a6
Feb ’25R$12.98
R$18.02
+38.8%
22.8%R$22.00R$9.60n/a6
Jan ’25R$14.12
R$18.02
+27.6%
22.8%R$22.00R$9.60n/a6
Dec ’24R$15.30
R$20.10
+31.4%
31.6%R$32.59R$9.60n/a7
Nov ’24R$14.57
R$19.60
+34.5%
32.8%R$32.59R$9.60R$13.007
Oct ’24R$15.67
R$19.60
+25.1%
32.8%R$32.59R$9.60R$14.497
Sep ’24R$14.46
R$19.60
+35.5%
32.8%R$32.59R$9.60R$15.407
Aug ’24R$14.04
R$16.72
+19.1%
48.5%R$32.59R$8.70R$17.126
Jul ’24R$11.46
R$16.22
+41.5%
50.4%R$32.59R$8.70R$14.506
Jun ’24R$9.77
R$16.47
+68.5%
49.3%R$32.59R$8.70R$16.206
May ’24R$8.82
R$13.14
+49.0%
32.0%R$20.00R$8.20R$13.005
Apr ’24R$9.01
R$13.24
+46.9%
31.6%R$20.00R$8.20R$15.405
Mar ’24R$8.00
R$16.53
+106.7%
50.2%R$33.00R$8.20R$14.396
Feb ’24R$9.05
R$16.28
+79.9%
51.8%R$33.00R$8.20R$12.986
Jan ’24R$8.00
R$16.28
+103.5%
51.8%R$33.00R$8.20R$14.126
Dec ’23R$9.13
R$21.37
+134.0%
53.7%R$40.00R$8.20R$15.306
Nov ’23R$11.10
R$23.47
+111.4%
51.0%R$40.00R$8.80R$14.576

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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