Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Desktop S.A.'s (BVMF:DESK3) P/E

BOVESPA:DESK3
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Desktop S.A.'s (BVMF:DESK3) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Brazil, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 10x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for Desktop as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Desktop

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:DESK3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 28th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Desktop will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Desktop would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 35% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 66% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 20% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 18% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Desktop is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Desktop maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Desktop (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Desktop's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.