Stock Analysis

Desktop S.A. (BVMF:DESK3) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

BOVESPA:DESK3
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With its stock down 13% over the past week, it is easy to disregard Desktop (BVMF:DESK3). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Desktop's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Desktop

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Desktop is:

9.0% = R$117m ÷ R$1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every R$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated R$0.09 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Desktop's Earnings Growth And 9.0% ROE

As you can see, Desktop's ROE looks pretty weak. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.0%. However, the exceptional 40% net income growth seen by Desktop over the past five years is pretty remarkable. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play thats influencing the company's growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Desktop's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 32% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
BOVESPA:DESK3 Past Earnings Growth April 16th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Desktop fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Desktop Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Desktop has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 3.7%, meaning that it has the remaining 96% left over to reinvest into its business. So it looks like Desktop is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

While Desktop has seen growth in its earnings, it only recently started to pay a dividend. It is most likely that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 25% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Desktop certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Desktop is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.