Stock Analysis

Positivo Tecnologia (BVMF:POSI3) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

BOVESPA:POSI3
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The board of Positivo Tecnologia S.A. (BVMF:POSI3) has announced it will be reducing its dividend by 35% from last year's payment of R$0.418 on the 30th of May, with shareholders receiving R$0.2737. This means the annual payment is 7.7% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

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Positivo Tecnologia's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Positivo Tecnologia was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 132.4% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 23% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
BOVESPA:POSI3 Historic Dividend April 21st 2025

See our latest analysis for Positivo Tecnologia

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from R$0.0455 total annually to R$0.42. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 25% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Positivo Tecnologia has been growing its earnings per share at 26% a year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.

We Really Like Positivo Tecnologia's Dividend

It is generally not great to see the dividend being cut, but we don't think this should happen much if at all in the future given that Positivo Tecnologia has the makings of a solid income stock moving forward. The cut will allow the company to continue paying out the dividend without putting the balance sheet under pressure, which means that it could remain sustainable for longer. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Positivo Tecnologia has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BOVESPA:POSI3

Positivo Tecnologia

Engages in the development, trading, and industrialization of information technology (IT) solutions in Brazil and internationally.

Good value with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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