Grupo Casas Bahia S.A.

BOVESPA:BHIA3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$403.9m

Grupo Casas Bahia Valuation

Is BHIA3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BHIA3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BHIA3 (R$4.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$101.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BHIA3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BHIA3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BHIA3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-26.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BHIA3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BHIA3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
LJQQ3 Lojas Quero-Quero
0.2x12.6%R$557.9m
MBLY3 Mobly
0.4x20.6%R$226.8m
CGRA4 Grazziotin
0.7xn/aR$504.2m
AMER3 Americanas
0.05xn/aR$794.9m
BHIA3 Grupo Casas Bahia
0.02x5.9%R$403.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BHIA3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BHIA3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BHIA3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BHIA3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BHIA3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.02x
Fair PS Ratio0.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BHIA3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BHIA3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$4.25
R$7.31
+72.0%
23.9%R$9.80R$4.00n/a9
Oct ’25R$4.60
R$7.31
+58.9%
23.9%R$9.80R$4.00n/a9
Sep ’25R$7.44
R$7.42
-0.2%
20.9%R$9.80R$5.00n/a9
Aug ’25R$4.27
R$7.42
+73.8%
20.9%R$9.80R$5.00n/a9
Jul ’25R$5.15
R$14.24
+176.5%
109.3%R$55.00R$5.00n/a8
Jun ’25R$7.09
R$14.24
+100.8%
109.3%R$55.00R$5.00n/a8
May ’25R$6.85
R$14.33
+109.1%
108.3%R$55.00R$5.00n/a8
Apr ’25R$6.94
R$20.91
+201.3%
115.7%R$75.00R$2.20n/a9
Mar ’25R$9.72
R$26.78
+175.5%
94.6%R$75.00R$5.00n/a9
Feb ’25R$7.66
R$35.03
+357.3%
79.1%R$75.00R$9.20n/a9
Jan ’25R$11.38
R$39.18
+244.3%
63.5%R$75.00R$11.40n/a9
Dec ’24R$13.75
R$39.17
+184.8%
63.5%R$75.00R$11.25n/a9
Nov ’24R$11.50
R$40.14
+249.0%
59.6%R$75.00R$12.50n/a9
Oct ’24R$15.75
R$44.34
+181.5%
47.2%R$75.00R$12.50R$4.609
Sep ’24R$32.25
R$55.56
+72.3%
15.0%R$75.00R$42.50R$7.449
Aug ’24R$53.00
R$62.25
+17.5%
25.6%R$100.00R$42.50R$4.2710
Jul ’24R$53.75
R$65.00
+20.9%
29.3%R$100.00R$45.00R$5.1510
Jun ’24R$62.75
R$65.00
+3.6%
29.3%R$100.00R$45.00R$7.0910
May ’24R$46.00
R$72.95
+58.6%
36.9%R$127.50R$45.00R$6.8511
Apr ’24R$47.00
R$79.55
+69.2%
31.9%R$127.50R$50.00R$6.9411
Mar ’24R$46.00
R$78.18
+70.0%
32.4%R$127.50R$45.00R$9.7211
Feb ’24R$58.75
R$79.09
+34.6%
31.6%R$127.50R$45.00R$7.6611
Jan ’24R$60.00
R$79.66
+32.8%
30.6%R$127.50R$45.00R$11.3811
Dec ’23R$52.00
R$94.27
+81.3%
28.3%R$145.00R$56.25R$13.7512
Nov ’23R$79.00
R$98.33
+24.5%
27.7%R$145.00R$62.50R$11.5012
Oct ’23R$79.75
R$126.96
+59.2%
84.2%R$500.00R$62.50R$15.7514

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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