Stock Analysis

Is São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações (BVMF:SCAR3) Using Too Much Debt?

BOVESPA:SCAR3
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A. (BVMF:SCAR3) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações

How Much Debt Does São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações had R$1.85b of debt, an increase on R$1.32b, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:SCAR3 Debt to Equity History July 8th 2022

How Healthy Is São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações had liabilities of R$540.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of R$1.37b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$6.36m in cash and R$60.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$1.85b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's R$1.42b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.4 hit our confidence in São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações saw its EBIT drop by 19% over the last twelve months. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 58% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On the face of it, São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.