Stock Analysis

Is Brasil Brokers Participações (BVMF:BBRK3) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

BOVESPA:NEXP3
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Brasil Brokers Participações (BVMF:BBRK3) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

See our latest analysis for Brasil Brokers Participações

When Might Brasil Brokers Participações Run Out Of Money?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When Brasil Brokers Participações last reported its balance sheet in September 2020, it had zero debt and cash worth R$42m. In the last year, its cash burn was R$53m. That means it had a cash runway of around 10 months as of September 2020. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:BBRK3 Debt to Equity History January 20th 2021

How Well Is Brasil Brokers Participações Growing?

At first glance it's a bit worrying to see that Brasil Brokers Participações actually boosted its cash burn by 26%, year on year. Also concerning, operating revenue was actually down by 19% in that time. Considering both these metrics, we're a little concerned about how the company is developing. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Brasil Brokers Participações is building its business over time.

How Easily Can Brasil Brokers Participações Raise Cash?

Since Brasil Brokers Participações can't yet boast improving growth metrics, the market will likely be considering how it can raise more cash if need be. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Brasil Brokers Participações' cash burn of R$53m is about 31% of its R$173m market capitalisation. That's not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year's growth at the current share price, you'd likely witness fairly costly dilution.

So, Should We Worry About Brasil Brokers Participações' Cash Burn?

We must admit that we don't think Brasil Brokers Participações is in a very strong position, when it comes to its cash burn. While its increasing cash burn wasn't too bad, its cash runway does leave us rather nervous. Summing up, we think the Brasil Brokers Participações' cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 5 warning signs for Brasil Brokers Participações (3 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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