Stock Analysis

Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers (BVMF:ALSO3) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

BOVESPA:ALOS3
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers S.A. (BVMF:ALSO3) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers

What Is Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers had R$3.16b of debt, an increase on R$2.17b, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:ALSO3 Debt to Equity History January 10th 2023

How Strong Is Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers had liabilities of R$799.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$3.53b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$19.0m as well as receivables valued at R$351.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$3.96b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of R$4.55b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers's debt is 3.3 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 5.6 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Importantly, Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers grew its EBIT by 82% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 93% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.