Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Syn Prop & Tech S.A. (BVMF:SYNE3) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Syn Prop & Tech
What Is Syn Prop & Tech's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Syn Prop & Tech had R$1.40b of debt at June 2023, down from R$1.64b a year prior. However, it does have R$289.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$1.11b.
A Look At Syn Prop & Tech's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Syn Prop & Tech had liabilities of R$100.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of R$1.36b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$289.6m as well as receivables valued at R$92.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$1.08b.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the R$572.4m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Syn Prop & Tech would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weak interest cover of 0.93 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.7 hit our confidence in Syn Prop & Tech like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Syn Prop & Tech saw its EBIT tank 91% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Syn Prop & Tech can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Syn Prop & Tech actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
On the face of it, Syn Prop & Tech's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Syn Prop & Tech to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Syn Prop & Tech is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:SYNE3
Syn Prop & Tech
We are SYN, and we have a deep understanding of the Brazilian commercial real estate market.
Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.