Stock Analysis

Blau Farmacêutica S.A.'s (BVMF:BLAU3) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

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BOVESPA:BLAU3

Blau Farmacêutica (BVMF:BLAU3) has had a rough week with its share price down 10%. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. In this article, we decided to focus on Blau Farmacêutica's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Blau Farmacêutica

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Blau Farmacêutica is:

12% = R$236m ÷ R$2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every R$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated R$0.12 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Blau Farmacêutica's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

It is quite clear that Blau Farmacêutica's ROE is rather low. However, when compared to the industry average of 8.8%, we do feel there's definitely more to the company. Especially considering that Blau Farmacêutica has seen a decent 11% net income growth seen over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. Such as high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing Blau Farmacêutica's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 12% over the last few years.

BOVESPA:BLAU3 Past Earnings Growth August 2nd 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Blau Farmacêutica's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Blau Farmacêutica Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Blau Farmacêutica's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 17% (implying that it retains 83% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

Besides, Blau Farmacêutica has been paying dividends over a period of three years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 23% over the next three years. Despite the higher expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Blau Farmacêutica's performance. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Blau Farmacêutica might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.