MP Materials Valuation

Is M2PM34 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of M2PM34 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: M2PM34 (R$22.08) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$0.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: M2PM34 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M2PM34?

Key metric: As M2PM34 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for M2PM34. This is calculated by dividing M2PM34's market cap by their current revenue.
What is M2PM34's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio16.6x
SalesUS$184.07m
Market CapUS$2.98b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does M2PM34's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for M2PM34 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
CSNA3 Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
0.3x2.5%R$15.4b
GOAU4 Metalurgica Gerdau
0.2xn/aR$11.3b
CMIN3 CSN Mineração
1.6x-2.8%R$28.7b
USIM5 Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais
0.3x3.4%R$7.6b
M2PM34 MP Materials
16.6x37.3%R$3.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: M2PM34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does M2PM34's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Metals and Mining Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
M2PM34 16.6xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies10PS00.61.21.82.43+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: M2PM34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.6x) compared to the South American Metals and Mining industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is M2PM34's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

M2PM34 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio16.6x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate M2PM34's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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