Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Dexco S.A. (BVMF:DXCO3)?

BOVESPA:DXCO3
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While Dexco S.A. (BVMF:DXCO3) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the BOVESPA over the last few months, increasing to R$11.32 at one point, and dropping to the lows of R$9.13. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Dexco's current trading price of R$9.48 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Dexco’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

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What's The Opportunity In Dexco?

Good news, investors! Dexco is still a bargain right now. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is R$13.71, but it is currently trading at R$9.48 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. Dexco’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

What kind of growth will Dexco generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BOVESPA:DXCO3 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 11th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Dexco, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -18%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Although DXCO3 is currently undervalued, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to DXCO3, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on DXCO3 for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. While conducting our analysis, we found that Dexco has 3 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.