Stock Analysis

CM Hospitalar S/A (BVMF:VVEO3) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 32% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

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BOVESPA:VVEO3

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the CM Hospitalar S/A (BVMF:VVEO3) share price has dived 32% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 90% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, CM Hospitalar S/A's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Brazil, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 16x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times have been advantageous for CM Hospitalar S/A as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for CM Hospitalar S/A

BOVESPA:VVEO3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 25th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think CM Hospitalar S/A's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

CM Hospitalar S/A's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 50% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 87% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 13% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 17% growth per annum, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that CM Hospitalar S/A is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in CM Hospitalar S/A have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of CM Hospitalar S/A's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for CM Hospitalar S/A (3 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of CM Hospitalar S/A's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.