Hospital Mater Dei S.A.

BOVESPA:MATD3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$1.5b

Hospital Mater Dei Valuation

Is MATD3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MATD3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MATD3 (R$4.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$9.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MATD3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MATD3?

Key metric: As MATD3 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MATD3. This is calculated by dividing MATD3's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MATD3's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.7x
SalesR$2.28b
Market CapR$1.50b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MATD3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MATD3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
KRSA3 Kora Saúde Participações
0.2x6.5%R$525.3m
RDOR3 Rede D'Or São Luiz
1.3x11.6%R$66.2b
DASA3 Diagnósticos da América
0.1x6.6%R$1.8b
ONCO3 Oncoclínicas do Brasil Serviços Médicos
0.3x11.7%R$2.0b
MATD3 Hospital Mater Dei
0.7x6.2%R$1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MATD3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MATD3's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Healthcare Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MATD3 0.7xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies3PS00.40.81.21.62+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MATD3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the South American Healthcare industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MATD3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MATD3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MATD3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MATD3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$4.32
R$7.59
+75.7%
22.1%R$9.90R$5.30n/a9
Nov ’25R$4.07
R$7.64
+87.8%
21.1%R$9.90R$5.30n/a9
Oct ’25R$4.42
R$7.87
+78.0%
19.6%R$9.90R$5.30n/a9
Sep ’25R$4.66
R$8.43
+80.8%
15.4%R$9.90R$6.50n/a8
Aug ’25R$4.59
R$8.74
+90.4%
12.3%R$9.90R$6.50n/a8
Jul ’25R$4.55
R$8.79
+93.1%
8.0%R$9.50R$7.50n/a7
Jun ’25R$5.02
R$9.76
+94.4%
16.1%R$13.00R$8.00n/a7
May ’25R$5.68
R$9.98
+75.6%
13.7%R$13.00R$8.80n/a8
Apr ’25R$5.66
R$9.98
+76.2%
13.7%R$13.00R$8.80n/a8
Mar ’25R$6.40
R$9.98
+55.9%
13.7%R$13.00R$8.80n/a8
Feb ’25R$6.40
R$10.48
+63.7%
13.1%R$13.00R$8.80n/a8
Jan ’25R$8.35
R$10.91
+30.7%
12.6%R$13.00R$9.00n/a8
Dec ’24R$7.96
R$10.91
+37.1%
12.6%R$13.00R$9.00n/a8
Nov ’24R$7.08
R$10.98
+55.0%
11.8%R$13.00R$9.00R$4.078
Oct ’24R$8.70
R$11.73
+34.8%
7.5%R$13.00R$10.50R$4.428
Sep ’24R$9.78
R$11.73
+19.9%
7.5%R$13.00R$10.50R$4.668
Aug ’24R$10.40
R$11.73
+12.7%
7.5%R$13.00R$10.50R$4.598
Jul ’24R$10.66
R$11.00
+3.2%
11.8%R$13.00R$8.50R$4.558
Jun ’24R$9.75
R$11.00
+12.8%
11.8%R$13.00R$8.50R$5.028
May ’24R$8.40
R$11.19
+33.2%
11.8%R$13.00R$8.50R$5.688
Apr ’24R$7.85
R$11.19
+42.5%
11.8%R$13.00R$8.50R$5.668
Mar ’24R$8.38
R$11.31
+35.0%
12.7%R$13.00R$8.50R$6.408
Feb ’24R$9.51
R$11.19
+17.6%
12.6%R$13.00R$8.50R$6.408
Jan ’24R$7.21
R$11.81
+63.8%
10.4%R$14.00R$10.00R$8.358
Dec ’23R$7.42
R$11.94
+60.9%
10.8%R$14.00R$10.00R$7.968
Nov ’23R$9.34
R$11.94
+27.8%
10.8%R$14.00R$10.00R$7.088

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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