Stock Analysis

Fleury S.A. (BVMF:FLRY3) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

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BOVESPA:FLRY3

Fleury (BVMF:FLRY3) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 9.3% over the last month. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Fleury's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Fleury

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Fleury is:

9.5% = R$495m ÷ R$5.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every R$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated R$0.10 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Fleury's Earnings Growth And 9.5% ROE

It is quite clear that Fleury's ROE is rather low. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.9%. So we are actually pleased to see that Fleury's net income grew at an acceptable rate of 7.8% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play that are influencing the company's growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

We then compared Fleury's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 13% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

BOVESPA:FLRY3 Past Earnings Growth July 12th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is FLRY3 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Fleury Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 67% (or a retention ratio of 33%) for Fleury suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

Moreover, Fleury is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 63% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Fleury is predicted to rise to 15% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Fleury can be open to many interpretations. While the company has posted a decent earnings growth, We do feel that the earnings growth number could have been even higher, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings at a higher rate of return. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.