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Optimistic Investors Push Diagnósticos da América S.A. (BVMF:DASA3) Shares Up 27% But Growth Is Lacking
Despite an already strong run, Diagnósticos da América S.A. (BVMF:DASA3) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 36% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Diagnósticos da América's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Healthcare industry in Brazil, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Diagnósticos da América
How Has Diagnósticos da América Performed Recently?
Diagnósticos da América hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Diagnósticos da América.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Diagnósticos da América's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.7%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 17% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 2.5% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 12%, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Diagnósticos da América's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What Does Diagnósticos da América's P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Diagnósticos da América's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
While Diagnósticos da América's P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Diagnósticos da América (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:DASA3
Diagnósticos da América
Provides diagnostic and hospital services in Brazil and Argentina.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.
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